The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al Ahly Cairo 54.5%
Draw 26.5%
Tala`ea El-Gaish 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
29.2%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
29.2%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Ahly Cairo's performance.
Tala`ea El-Gaish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tala`ea El-Gaish might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Ahly Cairo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tala`ea El-Gaish could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.1%
0%
5.9%
Al Ahly Cairo - Tala`ea El Gaish Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - El-Gaish (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al Ahly Cairo will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Ahly Cairo will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 10 - 90.9%). El-Gaish (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Hamza Alaa (G) 49. Assiouty I. 2. Marei Y. 4. Ramadan A. (C) 12. Shokry M. 38. Abdallah M. 5. Ben Romdhane M. 47. Adel I. 14. El Shahat H. 9. Gradisar N. 39. Abdelkarim H.
18. El Sayed E. (G) 8. Zola A. 4. Camacho M. 27. Alaa A. 14. Hamdi A. 30. Atef M. 5. Souissi H. 24. Awad K. 12. Mohareb I. 9. Hatem F. 11. Tarek K. (C)
Substitutes
11. Abdelkader A. 34. Abdin A. 15. Dari A. 41. El Shamy M. 50. Gamal H. (G) 40. Ibrahim K. 48. Moawad O. 42. Raafat M. 35. Zaalouk M.
20. Abdelaziz M. 17. Al Madadha G. 10. Hany M. 23. Keita A. 16. Shaaban M. (G) 6. Sotohi K. 3. Tarek A. 25. Tarek A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Gradisar N. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Gradisar N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Atef M. ⚽, Tarek K. (A),
60', Zola A. 🟨,
62', Mohareb I. ↓, Al Madadha G. ↑,
70', Souissi H. ↓, Tarek A. ↑,
71', Atef M. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
78', Abdallah M. ↓, Raafat M. ↑,
78', Adel I. ↓, Moawad O. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Hatem F. ⚽, Tarek K. (A),
83', Gradisar N. ↓, Abdelkader A. ↑,
85', Hatem F. ↓, Abdelaziz M. ↑,
86', Tarek K. ↓, Tarek A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 4.
Recent performances by Al Ahly have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
El-Gaish is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
El-Gaish may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Al Ahly is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:11. (average 1.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:4. (average 1.7:0.4).
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Hamza Alaa (G) 
Ben Romdhane M. 
Gradisar N. 
Dari A. 
Ibrahim K. 
Al Madadha G. 
Keita A. 
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